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Rent stabilisation measure qualifies for the March ballot

Organisers submitted 31,400 signatures. Landlord groups say the cap would freeze new construction; tenants say they cannot wait any longer.

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the measure
The measure, photographed for the Dispatch. (Mara Ellison / The Dispatch)

A citizen initiative that would cap annual rent increases on most apartments at 4 percent will appear on the March ballot, the county clerk confirmed Thursday afternoon, setting up what is likely to be the most expensive local election campaign in Brindlemoor history.

On a grey Tuesday morning in Kestrel Hill, the street looked much as it has for decades: a shuttered storefront, a bus shelter missing its glass.

Upkeep is the overlooked part of the story. Cutting a ribbon is easy to fund; paying staff for the next 30 years rarely does, Gideon Farrow said.

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A familiar argument

There is also the matter of trust. A poll commissioned by a civic group last spring found that fewer than 28 percent of residents believe the city delivers projects on time.

Not everything in the measure is contested. Members on both sides supports the expanded youth programmes, items that account for about $71.8 million in spending.

The decision came after months of community meetings, during which the Valley Tenants Union heard from hundreds of residents. A clear majority of them wanted the same thing: whether the city could afford to wait any longer.

Critics argued that the measure kicks the hardest choices down the road. “We keep approving the easy half of these plans,” said Bartholomew Ince, a former county commissioner,. “At some point the bill comes due.”

  • Restores evening hours at two library branches
  • Sets aside $81.8 million for emergency repairs
  • Delays a planned property tax increase by one year
  • Adds 13 maintenance positions
  • Commits $36.8 million to street resurfacing

The fine print

Attendance at the open houses was lower than organisers hoped: 4145 responses, most of them from residents over 50, according to the city’s summary.

State officials must sign off. A review is expected to take 8 months, and new conditions might add both.

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A coalition of neighbourhood groups called on staff to return in 63 days with a detailed timeline. Staff agreed, though Farrow warned that “we have studied this enough.”

Unit typeMedian rent 2023Median rent 2026Increase
Studio$1,015$1,12811.1%
1 bedroom$1,340$1,4669.4%
2 bedroom$1,714$1,91811.9%
3 bedroom$2,016$2,23410.8%
Single-family rental$2,364$2,81118.9%
Source: Valley Tenants Union; Dispatch analysis. Figures rounded.

Where the money comes from

What happens next is a round of design workshops set for September. If approved, construction crews could arrive as early as the spring of 2027.

For Ince, that argument has a long memory. He has lived on the same block for 25 years and can still describe the flood of 2001. “I would like to see it finished in my lifetime,” Ince said.

Officials at the Valley Tenants Union wrote in an email that the department expected to release updated figures soon, and that anyone with concerns can attend the next meeting.

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The question is not growth. The question is who gets it.

Gideon Farrow

What residents said

Under the agreement, the proposed rent stabilisation measure would cost roughly $15.2 million over 6 years, with about 37 percent of that financed through bonds. Finance staff calculate that the typical household would see about $22 more per year as a result.

Comparisons with similar-sized towns in the region suggests Brindlemoor is behind. Penhallow, just down the river, abandoned a similar plan after a lawsuit.

The history here matters. In 2000, the Valley Tenants Union promised voters that identified the same problems. That plan was revised 3 times as costs rose.

Tenant organisers won a guarantee that no one will be displaced. The city attorney said the commitment would be added.

File photo: the expansion
Looking toward Fenwick Park on a recent afternoon. (Mara Ellison / The Dispatch)

Who pays

Among council members, the calculations are tight. At least one member represent districts that would see little benefit, and two have hinted publicly that they want amendments.

Residents of Eastgate turned out in large numbers. At a meeting in the library basement last June, more than 124 people packed the room, and the public testimony ran past ten o’clock.

Emails released under a records request show that consultants told the Valley Tenants Union as early as December 2023 that the costs were likely to rise. That assessment did not appear in the public presentation.

The core disagreement is sequencing. Supporters want to start with the projects that are ready, while critics would rather fix existing problems first.

Timeline

  1. January 2017: A consultant report is presented to council.
  2. June 2019: A partial budget of $89.6 million is awarded.
  3. April 2021: the Valley Tenants Union unveils a study on the measure.
  4. December 2023: Funding of $17.0 million is approved.
  5. July 2025: A first draft is released.
  6. January 2026: Costs rise to $80.3 million.

The view from Fenwick Park

Wen Haverford, a spokesperson for the Valley Tenants Union, has a binder of meeting agendas going back to 2001. “You can watch the price go up page by page,” Haverford said, tapping the cover.

A handful of speakers asked the Valley Tenants Union to go further. Their argument was simple: the problem is getting worse, not better.

Farrow said the compromise was “the best we could do with the money we actually have.” Speaking after the meeting, Farrow conceded that the timeline remained uncertain.

Skeptics on the council argued that the measure relies on optimistic assumptions. “I have watched this movie before,” said Ince. “At some point the bill comes due.”

From the Valley Tenants Union filing, December 2026

The neighbourhoods left waiting

The independent audit suggested that 5.7 percent of residents in the study area are over the age of 65. This is significant because programmes designed to help them are already oversubscribed.

Haverford summed up the mood bluntly: “People here are not against change. They just want to be asked before it happens, not after.”

Expect more coverage of the measure in the coming months. Readers with information can reach the reporter directly at the address below.

A long history of delay

Taken together, and the picture is clearer: what happens this winter will shape the city’s finances well into the 2030s.

In short: 11 years of planning, $74.7 million in committed funding, and a final review that might change.

Reporters asked the Valley Tenants Union to provide additional detail. An official sent several pages of documents saying that the organisation remained committed to transparency.

Reporting for this story included several weeks of reporting, among them current and former employees.

It is worth stepping back, and the picture is clearer: choices being made now will determine how the valley looks for a generation.

Mara Ellison can be reached at mara.ellison@brindlemoor-dispatch.example. Have a tip? Use our secure tip line.

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Mara Ellison

Mara Ellison has covered Brindlemoor city government since 2019. Before joining the Dispatch she reported on courts and county budgets for a weekly in the upper valley. She lives in Mill Hollow with two retired greyhounds and a garden that is mostly tomatoes.

39 thoughts on “Rent stabilisation measure qualifies for the March ballot”

  1. This is why local journalism matters. Subscribed again after letting it lapse.

    Good piece, but I think the headline undersells how bad the seawall situation really is.

    1. Good question. The documents we reviewed did not say, and the agency has not responded yet. We will update the story if they do.

  2. My kids went to Larkspur. It breaks my heart to read this but I am not surprised.

    The part about the west side is the real story. Nobody on council lives over there and it shows.

    1. Fair point, and thank you. We have added a line clarifying that.

    1. Fair point, and thank you. We have added a line clarifying that.

  3. Went last Friday on the strength of this review. The sardines were exactly as described. Dessert was also exactly as described, unfortunately.

    Went last Friday on the strength of this review. The sardines were exactly as described. Dessert was also exactly as described, unfortunately.

    1. Good question. The documents we reviewed did not say, and the agency has not responded yet. We will update the story if they do.

  4. Went last Friday on the strength of this review. The sardines were exactly as described. Dessert was also exactly as described, unfortunately.

    I would love a follow-up on what happens to the workers at the old plant.

    1. Thanks for reading. We are planning a follow-up and would welcome tips at the address above.

  5. I have lived here for thirty years and I have seen this exact plan announced at least three times. I will believe it when I see the crews.

  6. I have lived here for thirty years and I have seen this exact plan announced at least three times. I will believe it when I see the crews.

    1. Good question. The documents we reviewed did not say, and the agency has not responded yet. We will update the story if they do.

  7. Good piece, but I think the headline undersells how bad the seawall situation really is.

    The part about the west side is the real story. Nobody on council lives over there and it shows.

  8. Respectfully, the reporter left out that the same vendor ran the last pilot, which went way over budget.

    Thank you for actually putting the numbers in a table. Most coverage just says "millions" and leaves it at that.

    1. Fair point, and thank you. We have added a line clarifying that.

  9. Respectfully, the reporter left out that the same vendor ran the last pilot, which went way over budget.

    The fee change makes sense for big vendors and is terrible for small ones. Simple as that.

    1. Good question. The documents we reviewed did not say, and the agency has not responded yet. We will update the story if they do.

  10. This is why local journalism matters. Subscribed again after letting it lapse.

    The heat pump rebate website crashed on me three times. Glad to know it was not just me.

  11. Grocery prices are absurd. I drive to the store on the east side now because it is consistently cheaper.

    Made the apple cake twice now. Second time I used a mix of tart and sweet apples and it was even better.

  12. I have lived here for thirty years and I have seen this exact plan announced at least three times. I will believe it when I see the crews.

    The heat pump rebate website crashed on me three times. Glad to know it was not just me.

  13. Copper Row Records is a treasure. Theo once spent twenty minutes helping me find a record I could only hum.

    The heat pump rebate website crashed on me three times. Glad to know it was not just me.

  14. Grocery prices are absurd. I drive to the store on the east side now because it is consistently cheaper.

    As a nurse at St. Aldric I can confirm the override part. The software is a tool, not a replacement for judgment.

  15. Good piece, but I think the headline undersells how bad the seawall situation really is.

    Copper Row Records is a treasure. Theo once spent twenty minutes helping me find a record I could only hum.

    1. Good question. The documents we reviewed did not say, and the agency has not responded yet. We will update the story if they do.

    1. Fair point, and thank you. We have added a line clarifying that.

    1. Good question. The documents we reviewed did not say, and the agency has not responded yet. We will update the story if they do.

  16. The part about the west side is the real story. Nobody on council lives over there and it shows.

    Went last Friday on the strength of this review. The sardines were exactly as described. Dessert was also exactly as described, unfortunately.

    1. Fair point, and thank you. We have added a line clarifying that.

  17. I have lived here for thirty years and I have seen this exact plan announced at least three times. I will believe it when I see the crews.

    My kids went to Larkspur. It breaks my heart to read this but I am not surprised.

  18. I have lived here for thirty years and I have seen this exact plan announced at least three times. I will believe it when I see the crews.

    Copper Row Records is a treasure. Theo once spent twenty minutes helping me find a record I could only hum.

  19. Can we please stop calling everything a "smart" something? It is a streetlight with a sensor.

    Thank you for actually putting the numbers in a table. Most coverage just says "millions" and leaves it at that.

    1. Fair point, and thank you. We have added a line clarifying that.

  20. Copper Row Records is a treasure. Theo once spent twenty minutes helping me find a record I could only hum.

    Respectfully, the reporter left out that the same vendor ran the last pilot, which went way over budget.

    1. Good question. The documents we reviewed did not say, and the agency has not responded yet. We will update the story if they do.

  21. I have lived here for thirty years and I have seen this exact plan announced at least three times. I will believe it when I see the crews.

  22. Can we please stop calling everything a "smart" something? It is a streetlight with a sensor.

    The heat pump rebate website crashed on me three times. Glad to know it was not just me.

  23. I have lived here for thirty years and I have seen this exact plan announced at least three times. I will believe it when I see the crews.

    Does anyone know if the public comment period is still open? The city website is no help at all.

    1. Thanks for reading. We are planning a follow-up and would welcome tips at the address above.

    1. Good question. The documents we reviewed did not say, and the agency has not responded yet. We will update the story if they do.

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